Tuesday, December 22, 2009
2012: The End is Near. Are You Prepared?
Thursday, October 8, 2009
Real World Index Annuity Returns
The Wharton Financial Institutions Center from the prestigious Wharton School (of Business) at the University of Pennsylvania released a study yesterday entitled Real World Index Annuity Returns. This study provides the first empirical exploration of fixed indexed annuity returns based upon actual contracts that were sold and actual interest that was credited on those contracts. The study includes the following findings, none of which should be surprising:
• FIA returns have been competitive with alternative portfolios of stocks and bonds.
• FIA design has limited the downside returns associated with declining markets.
• FIAs have achieved respectable returns in more robust equity markets.
• Studies that have criticized FIAs are typically based on hypothesized crediting rate formulae, constant participation rates and caps, and unrealistic simulations of stock market and interest rate behavior. When actual policy data are used, the conclusions change.
The Wharton study concluded that from 1997 through 2007, for the contracts examined, five-year annualized returns for FIAs averaged 5.79%. These returns compare to 5.39% for taxable bond funds and 4.73% for traditional fixed annuities over the same period. The study also found that for the period from April 1996 through December 2008, a specific and typical FIA's returns bested the S&P 500 alone 66% of the time and a 50/50 mix of one-year Treasury Bills and the S&P 500 80% of the time.
Not surprisingly, the study finds that FIAs are particularly desirable for consumers who are especially concerned with avoiding losses because they are "designed in a way to avoid downside risk [and] they tend to produce preferred return patterns for such [risk-averse] consumers when compared to alternative investment strategies that expose consumers to significant levels of that risk."
The study's conclusion won't be a surprise to those familiar with FIAs:
How will index annuities perform in the future? We do not know but the concept has proven to work in the past and any articles should reflect this. FIAs were not designed to be direct competitors of index investing nor have FIAs been promoted to provide returns to compete with equity mutual funds or ETFs. The FIA is designed for safety of principal with returns linked to upside market performance.
We already knew that an FIA can be a good product for nearly any consumer and that FIAs are particularly advantageous for risk-averse consumers. The Wharton Financial Institutions Center has now provided a powerful tool -- from a respected an unbiased authority -- to support and substantiate what we already knew.
Real World Index Annuity Returns
About this Blog:
Understanding what is available to you is more important now then ever. Learn How to Retire is part of your educational journey and was developed to help you find the new Safe Money alternatives you need to accomplish your retirement goals. In today’s economic environment one must realize that the only way to find success is through individual empowerment. Once you have taken the time to educate yourself you only then have the power to make the right decisions and put the trust factor on your shoulders. The more you know the more you will succeed. www.LearnHowToRetire.com is “Individual Empowerment” Once you have taken the steps to understand then you are free to find the qualified and trusted advisor to help take your knowledge and formulate a plan. www.safemoneyrep.com “Where People Find Trusted and Qualified Advice”
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Emotions and Retirement Income
Knowing that interest rates are at an all time low and that I can only receive a 5 yr guaranteed bank CD at about 2% annually I would think a good portion of your retirement money would be better suited in a 5 yr annuity at 4-5% tax deferred. That would make a lot more sense; you should always at least try to keep up with inflation. There is also 1-3 yr Multi Year Guarantee Annuities available at 2-3.5% annually.
Gambling is not for everyone and especially for the ones that have already gambled and lost big. You don’t have to gamble with your retirement money anymore. There are alternatives available that will not only guarantee your principal but also give you indexed linked returns that can never go backwards. You will not get all of the index growth but you will also not get any of the index loss. For example: if the S & P 500 goes up 10% in a year you could get 8.5% for that year depending on the product you chose. If the S & P was to go down you would not lose a dime and receive 0% for that year. Every year your gains will lock in never to be lost. There are still other Safe Money Alternatives available for those who are considering retirement in the next 5-20yrs that will guarantee between a 5-8% return annually as long as you use these funds for a guaranteed lifetime income, any unspent cash values will go immediately to your beneficiaries at the time of death. These products also allow you to participate in index linked gains while accessing your lifetime retirement income.
As I said earlier diversification has always been the key to success and that is why these strategies are just for the Safe Money assets you have “The money you can not afford to lose” The older you get the higher percentage of your assets belong in the Safe Money category. To get a better understanding and more answers to some of your most immediate retirement concerns visit www.LearnHowToRetire.com
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Annuity Alternatives
Now I had planned on providing a boring old statistical comparison of CDs and FIAs over the last twenty years, but during the last week I noticed a lot more rhetorical traffic around "annuity alternatives." I think now is a good time to stop and put a few volleys back in the serving court where they belong. What I mean is this: don't listen to the crazy talk.
Yep there it is again. This time, it is coming from the engineers of doom themselves. The very ones who helped you lose your money are peddling "safer" products.
Where were these products last year, when the drunk-drivers owned the road? Why is their advice now worthwhile and worth another whirl? That was a rhetorical question. Not for nothing, the hangovers own the road today and they kept their licenses. Lesson: drive carefully.
Alright, I've gone overboard. For one thing, if there is a mutual fund company I would recommend, it goes by the name Vanguard. In my opinion, the class of the industry. I don't mean to bad-mouth this organization because their practices, to my knowledge, are certainly not representative of the bad behavior of the industry in the horribleness that ensued last year. That being said, I don't recommend mutual fund companies. I don't like the risk. I want a boat in retirement. It doesn't need to be ninety feet long anymore if ninety feet means it could easily be particle board in the surf, depending on the seas.
I have no trust in the market or those that play it. I want guarantees. I don't want alternatives to guarantees. I lost a lot of bank last year on the advice of securities experts. I'll take my pension, thank you. I created my own pension with a Safe Money representative. It'll be there when I get there (retirement). I will lose nothing, regardless of another tanking market. My money is safe. The alternative to safe money is called gambling.
Monday, August 10, 2009
Fixed Indexed Annuities are growing in popularity because they make Sense
Stop the madness, the crazy talker says: It is unwise to lock in for 5 years because some very smart people think interest rates are going to rise. Unless you desperately need to earn an extra two percent, keep your money in a money market account. Current money market rates are at 1%.
What kind of advice is that?
I'll tell you what kind of advice that is. It is unsound advice. Keep on earning 1% and don't earn an extra 2 percent where you can? What is left out and is important is the gains you earn with your annuity are tax-deferred. What else is important is this advice ignores inflation. If the recommendation is to keep your money liquid, so you can move it into a risky fund at some unspecified point in the future, or when CD rates or money market rates suddenly pay exuberant returns, the recommendation will only cost you money. I am reminded of something I heard recently: "Brokers are only finding more creative ways to lose you money". This is one of the most creative yet.
If you keep your money liquid by not saving it or putting it into a low return money market account, you are actually losing money to inflation. I point you to our last post about the importance of making sure your investment returns out-pace inflation.
If you put funds into a fixed indexed annuity, you benefit from market index growth, your principle is protected from the losses that many us of suffered last year when the markets went over a cliff due to the sub-prime mess (one of my IRAs lost 40%, and as you know, I was not alone), your returns out-pace inflation and your gains are tax-deferred.
What else is important is if you extend your investment horizon, you earn more. We are talking about retirement savings here. We aren't talking about casino money. You should be looking to lock it up longer so there is more income in retirement.
To provide more insight into the soundness of the FIA strategy, and the unsoundness of brokers' recommendation to avoid them, we will be turning again and again to history (markets, interest rates, policy) in this blog, because it is true that those who do not learn from it are doomed to repeat it. Our business is your financial security. We want you to learn from history (which is why our domain name is learnhowtoretire.com and not learnhowtogambleyourretirementsavings.com or learnhowtoloseyourretirementsavingsbylisteningtoyourbroker.com). We provide the history, and connect you to local, independent representatives that will advise you on how keep your money safe and create your own personal pension.
Monday, July 20, 2009
Calculating how much you will need in retirement: Factoring Inflation
An old friend bought me a book about tackling the subject of how to approach the last third of your life – great book – chock full of humor and usable tactics to employ in the battle against age. I recommend everyone read it. Frequently. Because there is a lot of good advice in it and, if you are at all like me, some of it is bound to fall out of your head from time to time. The name of the book is “Younger Next Year*“*, by Chris Crowley and Henry S. Lodge, M.D.
There is some real-down-to-earth advice on just about every aspect of living the last half or last third of your life. Some of the most useful and sobering can be found in chapter thirteen: Chasing the Iron Bunny. In this section the authors declare matter-of-factly: “There’s one change that hits in retirement that you cannot duck and that you must prepare for as early as possible. There’s less dough“. The statement itself is not particularly insightful but awesomely important because the fact is so often and so easily overlooked by too many of us.
What is particularly impressive is the advice the authors provide on calculating how much you will need in retirement. Here is a brief breakdown:
1. “Make a realistic estimate of how much income per year you are going to have in retirement.”
2. “Unless your income is inflation-protected, adjust it downward by five percent.”
3. “Assume things will be worse and adjust downward another five percent.”
4. “Take a hard look at your prospective sources of income. Calculate coldly how reliable they are and make appropriate adjustments.”
The chapter goes on to help us approach and cope with living on a fraction of what we are currently accustomed to. I will be visiting the points above and use them to help us develop a financial strategy toward retirement and throw in some recent history to view different scenarios.
First things first, it is critical that your income source includes investments whose returns outpace the rate of inflation. The rate of interest earned on a five year CD currently does not provide the edge required. I suggest you extend the length of the accumulation phase, as the longer the accumulation phase, the higher the rate of interest gained.
Be conservative in your calculations. Assume a longer retirement horizon. People are living longer these days. If you follow the book’s instructions, you will be living a whole lot better longer.
If you purchase a 10 year CD instead of a five year CD you can gain up to a full percentage point in interest. If you purchase a fixed income annuity you can gain up to 5 percent more and can even decrease the length of the accumulation phase if you wish. Even in poor performing market periods, your FIA will protect your income against inflation. If the market performs well your FIA will outperform any CD.
If you follow the advice of the authors, the downward adjustments you need to make in compiling a realistic estimate of how much income per year you will need in retirement are drastic. But they need to be. Inflation alone eats away at retirement income value and recent history tells us just how precarious our nest egg is when tied to market performance.
Above all else, protect your principle.
In the coming articles we will discuss, among other things, a comparison of possible retirement income sources and an evaluation of the reliability of each. We will also discuss just how important it is to speak with a financial advisor.
To cite the authors of “Younger Next Year” once more: You do not want to be swimming away from the wreckage at seventy. You need to talk to someone and start planning as soon as possible. At the very least, start doing some research on your own. Visit the LHTR Planning section to begin.
Friday, May 8, 2009
Retirement Planning is a Civic Responsibilty
It is this group that has me worried. A recent study of American workers by the Employee Benefit Research Institute finds that only 13% of retired persons think they will be able to live comfortably on their retirement savings. The reverberative effects of such numbers can be staggering. Consider this:By 2030, spending for Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid will amount to almost 60% of the federal budget . This coverage is a good thing. But there is a tremendous risk that it will put future generations into a national debt and tax situation that is back-breaking. Strong individual investment strategies need to be hammered out now to prevent an untenable financial situation a few decades from now.
It is incumbent on all of us to be our own advocates in the face of difficult economic circumstances. It is important that we be stewards of our own financial security so that we are not simply transferring financial burden onto our heirs. There are sound and safe strategies that can be implemented today, and should be, to maximize retirement savings without sacrificing spending flexibility.
A large part of this discussion is to help people understand, they can still live comfortably throughout their retirement even though they have lost significant amounts of money due to the economic decline. The opportunities available for those approaching retirement have changed drastically over the years. Post and Pre retirees can continue to accumulate wealth for their estate and for themselves without having to experience any significant decrease in their retirement spending; with the correct application of guaranteed income riders available today.
An income rider pays out, without annuitization. This allows for more flexibility and access to emergency funds.
When you annuitize a contract you set a defined amount of income for a chosen duration of time without the ability of change. At the end of the chosen time period your funds have been completely withdrawal at a minimal interest rate. There for the trade-off for receiving this income is the loss of emergency liquidity and control. For instance, the amount of time you draw these funds cannot be adjusted. The amount of payment cannot be modified once annuitized.
Income riders allow you to exert more control over your income stream. You still have enough control to take more then the allotted income if needed. If you were to elect income from most income riders, the majority of your principal would still have the ability to be linked to a guarantee rate, an index or another form of growth potential unlike annuitization.
This alterative allows you to guarantee an income you can not out live as well as give you the opportunity for addition index linked or guaranteed interest rate gains.
Monday, April 20, 2009
Safe Money Representatives and Safe Money Resource Launch "Learn How to Retire" Web Resource
Never More Important Than Now: Learn How To Retire
- 13% of US workers say they will be able to live comfortably in retirement.
- 20% of retired people surveyed believe they will be financially secure, down 50% from 1 year ago.
- Less than half of the workers surveyed have tried to calculate how much retirement savings they will need.
- Only 7 percent say they have used an Internet calculator
- Less than one fifth say they have checked with an advisor
- 41% of workers that don't have defined benefit retirement plan at work believe they have one
- While only 13% of workers polled believe they will be able to live comfortably in retirement, less than 20% of those polled have discussed the matter with an advisor.
- Many people believe they have a defined benefit plan at work, when in fact they have a defined contribution plan, or worse, no plan at all.
- Only 44 percent of workers say they have tried to calculate how much money they'll need to have saved for retirement. Another 44% is just guessing.